Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jordan Thompson Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

How do we interpret the recent performances of these two tennis players? Let's delve into the second serve stats which have shown that Thompson has secured 49.29% of points, outshining Baena, who won 42.42%. The correlation between second serve success and match outcomes could hint at a favoring forecast for Thompson. Yet, when it comes to returning, Baena leads with 48.22% of opponent's second serve points in recent form compared to Thompson’s 41.77%.

This match presents an intriguing battle when examining first serve return stats, where Baena edges out with 29.55%, besting Thompson's 22.99%. The numbers suggest that Baena could have the upper hand in the returning game. Pressure situations tell a different story, with Baena saving 58.15% of breakpoints against Thompson’s 56.67%. Such slight differences often inform in-game betting decisions and predictions.

In the broader performance overview over the past year, Thompson holds a thin margin, winning 55.56% of his matches, while Baena stands at 53.03%. But how do career surface stats color this analysis? Thompson fares best on I.hard courts with a 65% win rate, which contrasts with Baena’s prowess on clay at 62%. Grass, however, narrates a different chapter where Baena struggles more.

When we shift focus to player level comparisons, Thompson shines on the Main tour with a success rate of 61.11%, topping Baena's 43.75%. These percentages provide a keen insight into who might handle higher-level competition better. The direct head-to-head record currently leans in favor of Thompson, having defeated Baena in both previous encounters, including a convincing win at Wimbledon last year.

In high-pressure match situations, neither have faced off in a tiebreak or deciding set, posing a slippery slope for direct predictions in those situations. Nevertheless, in matches where Thompson and Baena have played a deciding set, both remain nearly even with Thompson winning 53% and Baena 54%. The quality of opponents they’ve competed against also adds context; Thompson has faced those ranked higher at an average of 68.98 compared to Baena's 116.33.

Finally, the breakpoint conversion stat reveals that Thompson seizes 36% of chances, slightly overtaking Baena's 33.76%. A critical figure for live betting tips, particularly when either is on the cusp of breaking serve. Combining all facets analyzed, Thompson emerges as the likely contender to claim victory based on these comprehensive statistics.